Expires:No;;192285 FXUS65 KLKN 251015 CCA AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED National Weather Service Elko NV 215 AM PST Thu Dec 25 2025 CORRECTION .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1259 AM PST Thu Dec 25 2025 * Strong gusty winds across much of the region have prompted a Wind Advisory through this evening. The wind advisory will continue for White Pine County through 700pm Friday * Periods of rain and mainly high elevation snow will continue through the end of the week * Warmer than average temperatures return to near normal this weekend && .UPDATE... Issued at 1259 AM PST Thu Dec 25 2025 Wind advisory continues through this evening for central Nevada, including zones 034 and 038. However, the strong winds are expected to continue into Friday for zone 035, White Pine county. Winds in this area will remain out of the south with sustained winds of 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 50 mph through 700pm Friday. Otherwise, current forecast is tracking well at this time. Rain showers will continue across portions of the forecast area, but expecting a brief break during the early morning hours with another round of showers expected to move in later this morning and afternoon. Highs will be above normal once again, but cooler temperatures will filter in for Friday and the weekend. && .DISCUSSION... (This evening through next Tuesday) WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A large ULT approaching the West Coast is enabling an AR event to impact the southwestern CONUS bringing badly needed moisture and precipitation to northern and central NV. A strong pressure gradient and associated jet streak in the downstream of the ULT is creating strong southerly flow over much of the region prompting a Wind Advisory for central NV and the southwest portion of Elko County. Due to the slow moving nature of the trough the Wind Advisory is in place until at least Thursday evening and may be extended into Friday depending on the next model run. WV imagery currently depicts a nice plume of moisture moving south to north into central and northern NV. Much needed rainfall is already occurring over central and northwestern NV and is expected to spread into eastern NV by Wednesday evening. The AR event is providing anomalous PW values with forecasted PW over the region ranging 0.55-0.65 inches into Thursday morning. Average PW for Christmas Eve is 0.23 with a 90% of 0.38. Current rainfall accumulation projections have 0.75-1.00 for Nye County, with 0.25-0.5 for the rest of the area today with lesser amounts to the east. While frontogenesis guidance doesn't promote any substantial forcing at any given time enough FG is in place over the area to be efficient for precipitation production. Snowfall for Wednesday and Thursday is relegated to above 7000 feet for all but western Humboldt County Wednesday and Thursday. Snow levels are forecast to tumble to valley floors gradually Thursday into Friday morning. Snow accumulations for valley floors are generally in the dusting to 1 inch range though the recent stretch of unseasonably warm temperatures will most likely mitigate much if any accumulation of snow that does occur. The WSSI contains only minor winter weather impacts for elevated roadways along I-80, US-50, US-93, and area state highways through Saturday. Better snow accumulations are forecast for the regions highest peaks and ridges where snowpacks will see an additional 8-12 inches of new snowfall. Those snow levels dropping to below 6000 feet by Friday are in response to the associated frontal boundary expected to bring more seasonable temperatures to the region by the weekend where afternoon highs will top out in the 30s and low 40s, ending a stretch of warm record breaking weather for the area. Beyond the weekend high pressure will build into the region next week quieting the pattern but keeping northerly flow and colder temperatures in the forecast into the new year. FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High confidence remains in strong southerly gusty winds across the area though wind and wind gust grids were juiced using a 2-1-1 HRRR/NBM/NBM90 to help with accuracy as NBM continues to struggle with wind speeds. High confidence remains in precipitation across the area through Saturday and lower temperatures by the weekend. && .AVIATION... Periods of MVFR and IFR are expected at all terminals through Thursday afternoon in response to a combination of precipitation and low CIGs. An atmospheric river event will keep VCSH/-SHRA for all terminals through at least Wednesday evening. Precip will linger until after midnight at KWMC, KEKO, KELY, and KENV. CIGs will reside at or below 2000FT until Thursday morning for KWMC, KBAM, and KEKO. Low CIGs at KTPH at or below 1000FT will continue through Thursday afternoon. Low CIGs at KELY and KENV at or below 2000FT will continue until after midnight Thursday morning. Strong southerly winds are expected at KELY with gusts ranging 40-45KTs through Thursday afternoon. Wednesday strong winds with gusts ranging 30-35KTs at all other terminals will continue until late Wednesday evening. Gusts will diminish to around 20KTs overnight Thursday before resuming strong gusts at all terminals near 30-35KTs again Thursday afternoon. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... Wind Advisory until 7 PM PST this evening NVZ034-037-038-040-041. Wind Advisory until 7 PM PST Friday NVZ035. && $$ DISCUSSION...86/99 AVIATION...86/99