Expires:No;;167662 FXUS64 KFWD 250009 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 609 PM CST Wed Dec 24 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Well above-average and potentially record warm temperatures well into the 80s are expected through Saturday. - A strong cold front will bring strong north winds and more winter-like temperatures back to the region starting Sunday through the early part of next week. && .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Christmas Evening) Issued at 1222 PM CST Wed Dec 24 2025 The rest of the week will be more typical of early October (when average highs are in the low to mid 80s) thanks in large part to a stout mid and upper-level ridge that has become planted over the Southern Plains. Moreover, a high pressure center to our east will keep southerly flow in-place through the rest of the week. Expect temperatures to be 20-30 degrees above normal, in both overnight lows and afternoon highs, today and tomorrow. The sensible weather will also be similar with morning clouds/patchy fog giving way to mostly sunny skies in the afternoon. Winds will generally be out of the south-southwest with a slight breeze in the afternoon...a typical pattern we see in late summer/early Fall. It's a shame that this is happening on Christmas Eve and Christmas Day (if you like cool weather, that is). Other than that, there isn't much to talk about regarding the weather the next couple days other than the potential for daily records to fall at Waco and Dallas/Fort Worth. Here's a look at the Christmas Eve and Christmas Day records: 12/24 - Christmas Eve DFW ACT - Record High: 88 (1955) - Record High: 91 (1955) - Forecast High: 80 - Forecast High: 79 - Likelihood of Record*: 0% - Likelihood of Record*: 0% - Record Maximum Low: 60 (2021) - Record Maximum Low: 63 (2021) - Forecast Low: 60 - Forecast Low: 64 - Likelihood of Record*: 90% - Likelihood of Record*: 75% NOTES: DFW airport fell to 60 degrees this morning and is unlikely to fall below 60 degrees before midnight. This would tie the previous record. Waco fell to 64 degrees this morning and there is a 25% chance the temperature falls to 62 degrees or below by midnight tonight. 12/25 - Christmas Day DFW ACT - Record High: 82 (2021) - Record High: 82 (2021) - Forecast High: 82 - Forecast High: 81 - Likelihood of Record*: 50% - Likelihood of Record*: 38% - Record Maximum Low: 69 (2016) - Record Maximum Low: 67 (2016) - Forecast Low: 63 - Forecast Low: 62 - Likelihood of Record*: 8% - Likelihood of Record*: 18% *Likelihood of the record being tied OR broken && .LONG TERM... (Friday through next Tuesday) Issued at 1222 PM CST Wed Dec 24 2025 The previous discussion below is still largely on-track, so there is no need to make a whole-scale update to it. It's still looking like Friday and Saturday will be exceptionally warm with highs in the mid 80s (even low 90s for some west of DFW), and that our next strong cold front will arrive Sunday. Expect falling temps over the course of the day Sunday with cooler temps continuing into early next week. Further details can be read below. Previous Discussion... Issued at 1143 PM CST Tue Dec 23 2025 Near-record to record warmth will continue through Saturday with daily highs in the 80s. Friday looks to be the hottest day of this December heat with widespread highs in the mid and upper 80s. There has been a persistent signal of some sort of dryline feature setting up across the Big Country, bringing dew points down into the upper 40s (humidity into the 20s) west of a line roughly from Gainesville to Comanche. The combination of the dry air in place, clear skies, and southwest winds (added warming component from adiabatic compression off the Mexican Plateau) will set the stage for a few locations in the Big Country to potentially hit 90 degrees (10-15% chance); exceptionally rare for late December in North Texas. We will keep monitoring any potential for upper- level clouds to inhibit these kinds of temperatures, but as of now would not be surprised to see a few 90s pop up in surface observations Friday afternoon in the aforementioned area. Saturday, while cooler than Friday, should still be very warm with on more day of highs in the low and mid 80s before a strong cold front sweeps through the area Sunday morning. With the timing of the front trending a little slower than in previous forecast cycles, Sunday should still be an above average day temperature wise with highs in the 60s and low 70s. However, post-frontal winds out of the north will be very gusty, with gusts of 30-35 mph possible. Monday morning will be nearly polar opposite to what we've seen this week, with lows in the 30s. Near to below freezing temperatures will be possible generally north of I-20 and in the Big Country. With this much colder airmass firmly in place across the region by Monday, highs very well may remain in the 40s, with Monday night featuring widespread sub-freezing temperatures across North and Central Texas. All this to be said, if you enjoy the warmth, cherish these next few days because the end is in sight. And if you love the cold, don't worry, relief looks to be on the way for next week. Darrah && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 610 PM CST Wed Dec 24 2025 VFR conditions will continue at airports this evening with just a few low clouds around 4k ft and scattered cirrus. MVFR cigs continue to appear unlikely at D10 airports Thursday morning and will not include in TAFs. However, ACT is expected to see MVFR cigs from 11-17Z with tempo IFR cigs 12-16Z, with all airports seeing VFR conditions Thursday afternoon. South winds up to 12 knots are expected tonight through Thursday morning, with speeds increasing up to 16 knots Thursday afternoon. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 63 81 66 85 / 0 0 0 0 Waco 62 81 65 84 / 0 0 0 0 Paris 61 79 64 82 / 0 0 0 0 Denton 61 81 64 85 / 0 0 0 0 McKinney 62 80 65 83 / 0 0 0 0 Dallas 63 82 66 86 / 0 0 0 0 Terrell 62 81 64 84 / 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 64 81 65 85 / 0 0 0 0 Temple 62 81 64 85 / 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 58 86 62 90 / 0 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Bonnette LONG TERM....Bonnette AVIATION...Shamburger