FQZA81 FAPR 241330

WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII EAST of 20E.
ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE
24th OF DECEMBER 2025 AT 16:30 UTC.

FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2
BELOW.

NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS.
======================
COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE
MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO.

AREA 1:
=======
FORECAST VALID FROM 242200 TO 252200 UTC:

WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M.

NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS.
INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5.
WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER.

GALE FORCE WARNINGS:
====================
1. MARION FORTIES EAST: NW to N 35 in the north-east at first.

SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z
=====================
High 1023 hPa 37s10e

Low 1006 hPa 45s46e, Low 1005 19s36e

1. Cold Front: 33s35e 39s39e 43s43e into 45s46e.

AREA FORECAST:
==============
CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E):
WIND     : Anticyclonic 05 to 15 in the south-west, but S to SE 05 to 15
           over the central parts and the north-west, otherwise N to NW 10
           to 20, reaching 25 to 30 in the south-east.
VIS      : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers over the
           north-eastern parts.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m over the central parts, subsiding by mid-period, with
           S to SE swell.

DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):
WIND     : E to NE 15 to 25 in the east, but variable 05 to 10 over the
           central parts, becoming SW to S 15 to 25 in the west from mid-
           period.
VIS      : Good over the central-north otherwise, moderate in showers and
           thundershowers.


MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL:
WIND     : N to NW 05 to 15 in the north, otherwise variable 05 to 10, but E
           to SE 05 to 15 in the south.
VIS      : Moderate in showers and thundershowers at times.


MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):
WIND     : E to NE 05 to 15.
VIS      : Moderate in showers and thundershowers in the south at times.

MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E):
WIND     : NW to N 15 to 25 in the south-west, and north-east where it will
           reach 30 at first, otherwise S to SW 10 to 20, becoming variable
           05 to 10 over the central parts towards the end of the period.
VIS      : Good, but moderate to poor in rain and showers in the north-east
           and the south-west from mid-period.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south, with NW to W swell.

AREA 2:
=======
MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA
ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN)

25/12/24 AT 1630UTC

AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (Wind gusts may be about 40% stronger than the averages given here).

PART 1: WARNING

- Nil.

PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 25/12/24 AT 1200UTC

- Waving front from South-Western WAM to Southern KER passing by South-Eastern CRO and moving Eastward.
- High 1031 over WAM, moving Eastward, over AMS at the end.


PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 25/12/24 at 1800UTC to 25/12/25 at 1800UTC

WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E)
Rain and frontal showers over Soth-Western.
WIND   : anticlockwise 4/5 locally NW 6 over South-Western soon.
SEA    : becoming moderate everywhere.
VIS    : good but poor in precipitation.

AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E)
WIND   : anticlockwise 3/4, locally 5.
SEA    : moderate to rough.
VIS    : good.

CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E)
Rain and frontal showers moving Eastward.
WIND   : NW 5/6, locally 7 backing SE 3/4 behind the front.
SEA    : moderate to rough, locally very rough over Southern. W swell 2
         to 3 m.
VIS    : poor in precipitations.

KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E)
Rain and frontal showers over Southern.
WIND   : W 5/6, locally 7 at first with gusts.
SEA    : moderate to very rough from North to South. South-Westerly swell
         2 to 3 m.
VIS    : poor in precipitation.