FXXT01 EGRR 250400

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR SOUTH PACIFIC AND

 SOUTH-EAST INDIAN OCEANS

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 25.12.2025

        TROPICAL STORM GRANT      ANALYSED POSITION : 12.2S  96.5E

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 25.12.2025  12.2S  96.5E   MODERATE
 12UTC 25.12.2025  12.1S  95.2E   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.12.2025  11.9S  94.0E   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.12.2025  11.7S  92.3E   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.12.2025  11.7S  90.7E   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.12.2025  11.9S  89.1E   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.12.2025  12.6S  87.3E   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.12.2025  13.5S  85.3E   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.12.2025  14.0S  83.4E   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.12.2025  14.4S  81.6E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.12.2025  14.8S  79.9E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.12.2025  15.2S  77.5E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 31.12.2025  15.4S  75.2E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.12.2025  15.8S  72.9E   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.01.2026  16.2S  71.2E   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 16.9S 136.4E

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 27.12.2025  16.9S 136.4E     WEAK
 12UTC 27.12.2025  17.0S 138.5E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.12.2025  18.2S 138.9E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.12.2025  19.0S 139.5E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.12.2025  19.3S 139.6E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.12.2025  19.2S 140.4E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.12.2025  19.3S 139.5E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.12.2025        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 15.3S 166.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 30.12.2025  15.3S 166.6W   MODERATE
 00UTC 31.12.2025  16.6S 166.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.12.2025  18.9S 166.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.01.2026  21.4S 168.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 THIS BULLETIN IS DUE TO BE DISCONTINUED SINCE BULLETINS ARE NOW
 AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE
 AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 250400